I’m afraid this is the biggest black humor in the world today:
Just a few days after Bloomberg apologized for publishing the false news that "Russia invaded Ukraine", the United States took the so-called "intelligence" and said that Russia would attack Ukraine on February 16.
When the news came out, Putin was puzzled. In the phone conversation with Biden just now, he bluntly said that he did not understand why the United States deliberately spread the false news of "invasion". A spokesman for the Russian Foreign Ministry went on to say that such a thing was unheard of.
Ukrainian President Zelensky is also puzzled. He said, "If anyone has supplementary information about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine from February 16th, please provide it to us."
In order to add another fire to the tension between Russia and Ukraine, the Americans were so anxious that they personally went off to make rumors.
The current situation is ridiculous: the United States and the West are adding fuel to the fire, and they are afraid that Russia and Ukraine will not fight.
On the phone with Putin, Biden kept saying that he wanted to ease the situation in Ukraine, but on the grounds of stopping the war, he stirred up the water — — Not only did the troops stationed around Ukraine increase, but the phone was not hung up, and the news that American nuclear submarines broke into Russian territorial waters came out.
What American and western politicians are most worried about now is that they can’t fight.
In inciting the Russian-Ukrainian turmoil, Americans have been anxious to attack their hearts.
▲ Yuyuan Tan Tian’s original comic book "Urgent Fire Attacks the Heart"
For the current situation in Russia and Ukraine, the United States has increased its "microphone diplomacy" and has been clamoring for war. According to Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, Washington is organizing a lie offensive.
Its purpose is that no matter how the situation evolves in the future, the villain’s hat can be put on Russia first.
On February 12th, local time, Biden took the initiative to make a phone call to Putin. The call time was two days ahead of schedule, and Biden’s "urgency" was put on the table.
During the call, he not only failed to respond to Russia’s real concern — — NATO’s eastward expansion has pushed the rhetoric of "Russia invading Ukraine" to its peak. Biden also threatened to severely sanction Russia once the situation deteriorated.
The Russian Foreign Ministry summed up the routine of the United States: provocation, publishing false information and exaggerating threats are common methods for the United States to solve problems. The beginning of this wave of rumors is to make up a time for war.
The day before Biden made the call, Blinken, the US Secretary of State in Canberra, warned that "Russian invasion of Ukraine may start at any time".
A few hours later, Sullivan, the national security adviser to the President of the United States, narrowed down the scope at a news conference: "Russia may invade Ukraine before February 20."
About two hours later, the US news website "Politicians" got the news of "insiders", and the US president told western leaders that the time for Russia to "invade" Ukraine was "fixed" on February 16th.
In half a day, the United States made three statements, and its tone became more and more determined. At last, the president was out. If we look at it this way, the situation is really changing every minute, and war is imminent.
Needless to say, the United States really announced that "the war has begun."
At that time, Bloomberg released a big news: "Live broadcast: Russia invaded Ukraine". In just half an hour, such a "heavy" news was removed from the front page. Instead, a statement was issued soon: I deeply regret that the title was drawn up in advance and released unintentionally.
▲ Bloomberg’s fake news was saved by screenshots.
"Prepared in advance", products. The lie offensive was not played well, and the script was exposed in advance.
They are all journalists, and peskov, the press secretary of the Russian President, knows very well that the so-called "aggressive statement" constantly hyped by the United States is actually igniting in a tense situation.
Not long ago, CNN also announced the news of Russia’s deployment of blood supply at the border, and even Ukraine could not stand it. The Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine directly classified such "news" as an element of information and psychological warfare.
Forget about counterfeiting. This time, countries directly exposed the old story of the United States weaving lies. When this set doesn’t work, the president of the United States can only grit his teeth and use his identity to support his credibility for a while.
More importantly, it is to cover up the background color that you are the "source of trouble".
Wallace, a member of the European Parliament, mentioned that it is very sad that the West talks about the Ukrainian crisis and portrays Russia as a warmonger. There are more than 800 military bases in the United States, and American imperialism and NATO are the warmongers who seek war to feed the military-industrial complex.
The United States, which urgently needs to incite a war, has indeed become hysterical in its military actions.
The rumors are clarified, and then look at the actual actions.
The Russian and Ukrainian parties have indicated that they do not intend to solve the problem by force. In fact, both sides have also formulated defense plans. No matter the joint exercise just held in Russia or the current military deployment in Ukraine, the imaginary enemy is defined as an "intruder".
The implication is that no one wants to shoot the first shot on both sides of the military confrontation. It is the United States that is anxious to fire the first shot.
After the US government and media spread rumors that Russia "attacked" Ukraine, the United States is still "thinking" for Russia — — The American Center for Strategic and International Studies quickly "formulated" a battle plan for Russia.
This is not a hot spot. This is a non-profit policy research institution with cross-party cooperation. It has been established for 60 years and is one of the top think tanks in the United States. The current chairman is the former US Deputy Secretary of Defense.
The report was written by Seth Jones, director of its international security program, who served as assistant secretary of defense in charge of special operations in the United States.
The whole report is quite professional, "planning" three routes and six military options that Russia can "attack", and "caring" factors such as weather, logistics and morale are also considered for Russia.
On paper, it is still worrying about Russia. The United States is afraid that Russia will "look ahead and look back" and does not want to go to war. In addition to Russia, the United States is also "doing work" for Ukraine.
First, use weapons aid to give Ukraine "courage."
The research results at the end of last year showed that Ukrainian artillery was very short of ammunition. As a result, since January 21 this year, Ukraine has received more than 1,000 tons of weapons and ammunition in less than a month.
In the description of the United States, these weapons are very targeted and can give Russia a "trip."
But in fact, most of the aid weapons are obsolete old products, which are slightly threatening and seriously insufficient.
Perhaps the United States itself understands that its aid in materials is lip service, so the United States continues to mobilize troops to "support the field" for Ukraine.
At the end of January, the US Department of Defense ordered 8,500 soldiers to be put on standby. Among them, there is the 82nd Airborne Division of American Ace Force. When American troops fled Kabul, it was this unit that cut off American diplomats — — The last American soldier who left Afghanistan, Major General Chris donahue, was the commander of this unit.
▲ Chris donahue witnessed the failure of the United States in Afghanistan.
The implication of deploying such a force in Poland, which borders Ukraine, is obvious.
The United States is the farthest from the front line, but it is the most active in the war.
In December last year, the US National Defense Authorization Act of FY 2022 was passed, and the military expenditure increased by about 5% compared with last year. The war in Afghanistan is over, and the military expenditure can keep growing. One of the most important reasons is that the Ukrainian crisis is "very successful".
Since last year, American arms dealers, represented by Lockheed Martin, have had a hard time. Everyone is pointing to the situation in Ukraine and making another war fortune. For them, this is already familiar — — The only winner of all wars launched by the United States is the American military-industrial complex.
According to the Russian side, more than 120 Americans who are "private military contractors" have been active in the front line of Ukraine. For them, this is business, and it can make a lot of money.
In 2003, when the Iraq war broke out, the U.S. Department of Defense identified a weapons and equipment acquisition project with a total amount of 600 billion U.S. dollars, which will enable these arms dealers to continue to make profits until 2023.
If Russia and Ukraine fight, it will just start the next cycle.
These people are not afraid of war at all, because they can’t burn themselves.
Ukraine is far from the United States, but it is close to European countries. When the United States fires, European countries have to "put out the fire."
What the United States is most worried about is that Europe will solve the Russian-Ukrainian problem by itself.
On January 26th, local time, "Beixi -2" natural gas pipeline project company announced that it had formally established a subsidiary in Germany. This means that the "Beixi -2" project, which has been stagnant for some time, will make new progress.
At the moment of energy crisis, this pipeline that transports a large amount of natural gas from Russia to Europe will undoubtedly strengthen Russia’s ties with Europe and indirectly ease the situation in Russia and Ukraine.
Driven by this news, the major European stock indexes that just plunged two days ago due to the situation in Russia and Ukraine all achieved an increase of more than 2%.
Europe is happy and America is angry. Not only because I haven’t earned enough — — After the tension between Russia and Ukraine, the United States increased its supply of natural gas to Europe.
Last December, the United States became the world’s largest exporter of liquefied natural gas for the first time in history. This is an excellent opportunity to expand the European market. The United States naturally doesn’t want to let the duck fly away.
▲ LNG storage tank located in Louisiana, USA
More importantly, energy autonomy is also a part of European strategic autonomy.
In the eyes of Americans, the "Beixi -2" project is not only an economic project, but any positive progress is regarded by Americans as a move by Europe to get rid of the shackles of the United States and seek European autonomy.
What’s more, Europeans did.
This month, French President Macron went to Moscow and Kiev to seek ways to ease the Ukrainian crisis. As soon as Macron moved, a reporter asked whether Macron’s visit to Ukraine indicated that Europe was solving the Ukrainian problem alone.
▲ Putin and Macron met across a long table of more than 4 meters.
This question angered White House spokesman Psaki. She said, "I totally disagree with you." Later, she added, "The United States is the key player!"
Here we have just expressed our dissatisfaction with the French "unauthorized action", and there is news from Germany that Chancellor Scholz will visit Ukraine and Russia respectively. European countries, represented by Germany and France, still hope to ease the current tense regional situation through diplomatic means.
After all, they have been pushed forward by "NATO’s eastward expansion" for too long.
Zhao Huirong, director of the Ukrainian Office of the Russian-Eurasian Institute of the China Academy of Social Sciences, told Tan that in recent years, the contradiction between European countries and the United States has been increasing, and the influence of the United States on Europe has been weakening, and the United States is trying its best to change it.
One way is to establish an enemy like Russia and awaken NATO’s fear of the "Russian threat theory."
But it has always been the United States, not Russia, that has taken the initiative to stir up trouble.
Many people don’t understand why the United States has made such great efforts to arch the fire. The tense situation in Russia and Ukraine will have an impact on the world economy. It stands to reason that the United States cannot avoid it.
But the abacus of the United States is very accurate, and war is the best way for the United States to profit.
The first is the price of oil. After the news that Russia will "invade" Ukraine came from the United States, the international oil price hit a record high in the past seven years.
The United States is one of the largest producers of crude oil in the world, and the United States can profit from rising oil prices. Moreover, in the hands of the United States, there is also the shale oil card.
The exploitation cost of shale oil is higher than that of conventional oil. If the international oil price continues to rise, this technological advantage of the United States can be further amplified.
The instability of the situation will also make funds flock to the United States to avoid risks. By then, the US dollar index will rise and US stocks will be supported. The deterioration of the situation is actually more beneficial to the United States.
Compared with these, what the United States really values is that war can help solve the domestic inflation problem.
On February 10th, the US Department of Labor announced the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in January, which, not surprisingly, hit a "new high in nearly 40 years".
As soon as the data came out, the expected probability of the capital market for the Fed to raise interest rates in March rose directly from less than 30% to nearly 100%.
This also directly led to the rapid rise in the yield of 10-year US bonds. What I want to explain here is that the interest rate of US Treasury bonds is fixed, which is 1% when it is issued, that is 1%. This means that the yield of US Treasury bonds should also be fixed.
But us treasury bonds can be traded. On the premise that coupon rate remains unchanged, the rising yield means that the price of US Treasury bonds is falling — — In other words, some people are selling American debt on a large scale.
Generally speaking, 2% is a psychological barrier for the yield of 10-year US bonds in the capital market. Just last week, this figure broke 2%.
The current situation, only by making the situation in Russia and Ukraine more tense and rushing foreign funds, especially those from Europe, to the United States, can make the process of raising interest rates in the United States smooth.
Such means, the United States has long been familiar with it.
After the Asian financial crisis in 1997, the United States became a "refuge" for global funds, and a large amount of funds poured in, which boosted the American stock market and made the bubble bigger and bigger.
At this sensitive time node, the euro was born. Financial institutions estimate that an estimated $500 billion to $1,000 billion of assets will be deposited in euros, most of which will be converted from dollars. The massive withdrawal of foreign capital will inevitably lead to the bursting of the American economic bubble and even the collapse of the American economy.
▲ Giant steel-cast euro sculpture in front of the European Central Bank building
Then the Kosovo war broke out. The war was fought in Yugoslavia, but it hurt the euro. After the war, the exchange rate of the euro against the US dollar fell by 30%.
Now, it is a similar situation. The bubble of American economy is once again facing the crisis of being punctured. For its own interests, the United States wants to wage war to transfer economic contradictions.
This time, the United States tied Ukraine and the whole of Europe to a chariot full of explosives.
If the situation in Russia and Ukraine really becomes uncontrollable, there will be many victims, but the United States is the only one on this list.
